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softaire
01-Aug-12, 22:12

Obamaisms
"That's why today I'm pledging to cut the deficit we inherited by half by the end of my first term in office"... BO one month into office.

"I refuse to leave our children with a debt that they cannot repay and that means taking responsibility right now, in this administration for getting spending under control"... BO in his 2009 pledge.

But, in reality...

the budget deficits have been:
1.55 trillion 2009
1.37 trillion 2010
1.36 trillion 2011

The federal debt exploded by more than $4 trillion in BO's first 1000 days, adding as much debt as the U.S. had accumulated from 1776 to 1993. Total U.S. debt is now almost $16 trillion and that is NOT counting social security obligations.
chaz5
01-Aug-12, 22:26

... if we would just cut defense spending, we could make a lot of headway, but Congress refuses to compromise and cooperate ... no wonder the prez (ANY president under these circumstances regardless of party) cannot get enough worthy things done.
softaire
02-Aug-12, 07:01

#2: Shovel-Ready Jobs
"We've got shovel-ready projects all across the country that governors and mayors are pleading to fund. And, the minute we can get those investments to the state level, jobs are going to be created"... BO December 2008.

He confessed in October 2010, to the New York Time, that "there's no such thing as shovel-ready projects when it comes to public works" and he said the same thing to columnist David Brooks, off the record, a year earlier.
chaz5
02-Aug-12, 08:16

softy ...
... you're getting repetitious again. Let's get back to some substance.
softaire
02-Aug-12, 11:28

#3: Caterpillar
Chaz... here is some more substance for you.
************************************************

"Yesterday, Jim, the head of Caterpillar, said that if Congress passes our plan this company will be able to rehire some of the folks who were just laid off"... BO February 2009, in front of Caterpillar.

Later, asked if Caterpillar would in fact be rehiring if the stimulus passed Congress, Jim Owens (then CEO and Board Chairman at Caterpillar) responded with: "I think, realistically no. I mean, the honest reality is that we'll probably have to have more layoffs before we start hiring again".

Shortly after that unemployment rose to 10%, before eventually starting downward again.
chaz5
02-Aug-12, 14:14

softy ...
... that's kinda old news, and much too Bush-oriented to be now timely. Truth is, I respect your choice to be anti-Obama no matter what. However, if you'd take a more middle ground, more compromising position on things, maybe we could get to a point of agreement on some stuff ... but you're so far right-oriented that I hafta leave it up to Dm and Z to give good balancing arguments. As it is, I'll let you duke it out with them.
softaire
02-Aug-12, 15:21

chaz
"Bush-Oriented"?

This was BO in front of Caterpillar trying to sell his stimulus, by telling a lie. Jim Owens himself said that the statement was false.

This is just one of several BO statements that turn out to be "misstatements", "errors", "falsehoods", or not true.
softaire
02-Aug-12, 19:36

#4: Taxpayers will be repaid
"American taxpayers are now positioned to recover more than my administration invested in GM, and that's a good thing"... BO November 2010.

Five months later, Timothy Geithner, Treasury Secretary, said "We're going to lose money in the auto industry on net, but we did this for the jobs we were going to save, not to maximize return".

The taxpayer is out $14 Billion on GM. GM stock closed at $25.17 on March 23, 2012. That's less than one-half the $53 per share needed to reimburse taxpayers for the funds dumped into GM and the UAW. As GM stocks tank, taxpayer loss is estimated to be at $23.77 Billion, according to a January 2012 Treasury estimate.

This deal gave the UAW pension fund 17.5% of the new GM, and left their wages and pensions untouched, even though the original GM stockholders were wiped out. Preferred stockholders are required by law to be the first to be repaid when there is a bankruptcy... but apparently NOT in this preferred theft of GM and redistribution to the UAW.
changeling
02-Aug-12, 20:02

How many people kept their jobs and remained able to feed their families in all the farce?
softaire
03-Aug-12, 07:42

change
Good question. This is what I think:

There is a process for declaring bankruptcy (Chapter 11 I think... ask Illi) that allows the company to nullify their debts, reorganize the company/management/ and agreements such that the company stays in business, continues operations, and hopefully recovers to profitability.

In the cases where that fails and the company ceases business, the assets are sold and shareholders are paid what can be paid. Employees then lose that job, but just as assets are usually bought up by competitors so also are the employees usually scooped up by the competitors... as well as former customers.

So, net of it all, it is not good when a company fails, but it is hardly catastrophic. Shareholders get some of their money back and competitors pick up the pieces (equipment, employees, and customers). The vendors do lose some money, but it is a risk of being in business and they "write it off".

If GM went bankrupt, there would have been some temporary hurt and damage, but the industry would quickly have recovered. There are plenty of competitors in this industry to take over if somebody leaves the playing field.

chaz5
03-Aug-12, 08:35

... "some temporary hurt and damage" just does not define what would have happened in already-strapped Michigan (not counting GM's suppliers who would have also succumbed!) ... Softy's comment is atrociously naive at the gravity of what the impact would have been. Yet, it remains logical in the minds of modern-day Hoover-era type business thinkers who think pure capitalism is the answer for every woe.
illinawek
03-Aug-12, 08:47

GM is a whole different game from most companies. They are the AIG of auto makers... too big to fail. GM's liquidation would send shock waves through the economy. For example, the Iron Ore industry would be affected, the glass industry would be affected, Goodyear, Firestone... it would go on and on. The companies that supply Ford would go under. So would Ford.

So if you want to quit making cars, let GM go under. Only a couple of Ron Paul types would want to see that happen.
changeling
03-Aug-12, 08:49

I did expect that kind of an answer: At present in Australia Ford appear to be going under (or Holden, I cannot recall which right now as I have had a few!). The job losses will have ramifications throughout the auto industry affecting thousands of other workers outside of the auto factories as a trickle down effect. People who lose their jobs will NOT be picked up by competitors as they are also struggling. I would guess this was the same in Michigan. Our auto industry is being bailed out somewhat (as it has been in the past) purely to preserve jobs. In towns where the auto industry reigns as the biggest employers where do you think these people will get further employment softy? The only other alternative to bail outs on this scale is mass unemployment benefits which I'm guessing the conservatives baulk at more than anything else. Perhaps 'we' should let them eat cake!
itchynscratchy
03-Aug-12, 10:03

If they're too big to fail, they're too big.
softaire
03-Aug-12, 10:28

Even if all those dire predictions were true, (which I do not believe) there are some problems remaining for advocating Bailouts of failing companies:

There is no end in sight.

The company is failing for a reason (it needs bailout money for a reason). They have been doing something wrong. If you give them money to continue in business, you are subsidizing failure... You are, in effect, spending good money after bad. You have not solved anything.

The example is GM which has seen sales plummet... and this is supposedly the 2nd summer of our recovery!

How much money are you willing to give them and how long do you want to continue bailing them out? Better to get it over with and recover than to continually pay for failure after failure.

This plan is exactly the same plan BO had with the stimulus. He spent almost $1 BILLION and didn't stimulate anything. All he did was fund government and unions for one more year before the problem was back. Now GM is tanking again, still owes the public money from the first bailout, and "here we go again"....
chaz5
03-Aug-12, 11:40

softy ...
... now you're speaking a different language ... and I can come much closer to agreeing with you. I also believe there needs to be a greater "penalty" for companies (including banks) who require a bailout (particularly when they are deemed "too big to fail"). Like you, I'm not sure I would want gov't restraints on corporate profit or growth, but the gov't could have imposed a greater tax or payback or interest than they did. Such "penalties" would then be treated as costs by the company and better management decisions would thereupon prevail.

As it is, GM is doing remarkably well getting back on their feet according to most who are evaluating their performance ... the gov't is getting paid back (but less than what I think they needed to) ... and as the economy slowly rebounds, they'll be just fine.
itchynscratchy
03-Aug-12, 15:30

We may disagree on social issues, but honestly when it cones to bailouts i'm with softy. No way should taxpayer money be used to bailout private enterprise.
illinawek
03-Aug-12, 15:33

Unless it prevents a collapse of the banking system.
itchynscratchy
03-Aug-12, 15:42

Nope. It's private enterprise for a reason. Taxpayer money has ended up being paid to shareholders, who hold a piece of a company that apparently cannot fail. It's absurd.
chaz5
03-Aug-12, 17:01

... it's easy to conclude that free enterprise can manage itself, but we've proved too many times that it cannot without devastating consequences ... it must be balanced with regulation in support of the public interest ... not over-regulation or punitive rules, but balanced gov't oversight and appropriate penalties for poor corporate management. Pure for-profit capitalism does not hold the public as its primary beneficiary over corporate profitability.
softaire
03-Aug-12, 22:41

chaz
"Pure for-profit capitalism does not hold the public as its primary beneficiary over corporate profitability."

Your understanding of capitalism is so far from right that you prove once again you are left. Your desire to paint capitalism as the greedy exploiting the poor working class is also as far left (wrong).

First of all, we do not have a pure for-profit capitalistic society or economic system.

We do collect a lot of taxes including income taxes, payroll taxes, business taxes, sales taxes, death taxes, capital gains taxes, fuel & tobacco taxes etc. etc. etc.... Income taxes are progressive taxes meaning that the more you make, the more you are taxed.

These taxes pay for huge welfare, food stamps, medicare, housing etc. etc. etc. for a lot of people.

That is socialism... it is just not as much socialism as you would like. France is going to raise taxes on the wealthy to 75%... maybe you would like to move there.

Secondly, your understanding of how capitalism works is so weak, I don't know why I'm bothering to explain it once again... BUT, the company is not trying to make society the beneficiary of its efforts. It is NOT supposed to do that because then the company will fail. The company must work for its' own best interest, just like individuals work for their own best interest.

When everybody is working in their own best interest, without government intrusion, it turns out that the most fair price for goods and services is established and labor is applied in the most efficient and effective ways. Resources are also used in the best way for longer sustainability. It also results in better, higher quality goods and services at lower costs to the consumer.

When corporations and/or individual entrepreneurs work in their own best interests and are successful, society benefits in many ways, whereas if they are not successful, it is society that pays.




illinawek
04-Aug-12, 05:11

When the banking system fails, there are a lot of viable businesses that will be taken down with the banking failure.

This results in a lot of waste. Free markets are remarkable in their ability to innovate, but when the entire system breaks down, it breaks down.

That is why one can not look at the failure of GM or AIG in isolation. When the failure causes a system meltdown, government should and does step in.

If you remember, in 2008, Lehmann Brothers went bankrupt, and that was acceptable to the Government. They asked for a bailout. It was when AIG went soft that people began to worry if the banks would fail, and that can not happen. It doesn't matter how conservative the President (Bush) is. Its fine to say this and say that now, but those are the facts and if conditions repeat themselves, history will repeat itself.
softaire
04-Aug-12, 06:12

illi
Good post and I wish I knew enough to argue about that sensibly, but I don't. You might very well be right. I don't think that I am arguing against that anyway. Certainly, if the whole banking system fails, we are all in a bunch of hurt.
chaz5
04-Aug-12, 08:21

softy ...
... obviously you and I have different views re pure capitalism (and our version of it), but I'm not a socialist either; I would rather see a better balance between the two, and you have a hard time acknowledging anything other than your purist views while saying others are wrong ... and that's OK, your prerogative. But you are no expert on capitalism, that's for sure ... you've proved that over and over again.
softaire
04-Aug-12, 13:26

#5 Stimulus Plan Fights Poverty
"The stimulus spending law is a plan that rewards responsibility, lifting two million Americans from poverty by ensuring that anyone who works hard does not have to raise a child below the poverty line"... BO.. 2009.

Since he signed the act into law on Feb.17, 2009, almost 10 million more Americans have entered the ranks of the poor, according to an Indiana University study released January 2012. The Brookings Institute predicts that child poverty rate will have grown to 22% by 2011, up from 17.8% in 2007.

The UI study found that 46.2 million Americans were living in poverty in 2010, a jump of 27% since 2006. The study also predicted that number would rise in 2011, due to the stalled economy, high unemployment, and long-term unemployment. (Duh)

This counters BO's statement that the Stimulus would improve everything. And, clearly, with the huge increase of people on welfare, food stamps, and unemployment compensation, the Stimulus did NOT work.
chaz5
04-Aug-12, 15:13

... a slow but steady improvement is the best course ... and certainly better than going back to the Bush years when all this started ... just to have it all repeat. Besides, with 24% of Wall Street executives saying "illegal or unethical conduct may be necessary to be successful ..." [Time, 7/30/12], I don't trust them to have full reign with the legislators they just finished purchasing. We have to do better. Compromise and cooperation coupled with getting corporations' out of Congress ... nothing more, nothing less.
softaire
05-Aug-12, 16:40

#6 Create or Save Jobs
"The stimulus law will create or save 3.5 million jobs and a wave of innovation, activity and construction will be unleashed across America that will bring real and lasting change for generations to come"... BO February 2009.

The President's economic advisers said unemployment would stay below 8% as a result of spending $787 billion. It actually reached 9.9% in May 2010 and has been above 8% ever since. It is now trending back upwards again.

However, real unemployment (when counting those who have given up looking or are "underemployed", or have exhausted their unemployment insurance) is at 15.1% in January 2012, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The long-term unemployed (workers unable to find a job for more than 27 months) has grown 83% in the last three years to 5.5 million. And, because of this, household income is down 7% from February 2009.

So, in summary, unemployment is stagnant above 8% and climbing, long-term joblessness has ballooned, and household incomes are down. This is the "new normal", the lasting change we can expect unless we see REAL change in November.




softaire
07-Aug-12, 12:35

#7 Fast & Furious
"90 percent of the guns recovered in Mexico come from the United States"... BO April 16 2009.

In the midst of his global apology tour in 2009, he stopped in Mexico and announced that the U.S. must share in the blame for the brutal Mexican drug war. He said "This war is being waged with guns purchased not here but in the United States".

According to the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms (ATF) statistics show that just 17% of the guns found at Mexican crime scenes come from the U.S. And, of course, thousands of those came as a result of the government Fast & Furious that intentionally let guns walk across the border.

Why did they do this? Obviously to try and make a case for stiffer gun control laws and to weaken gun ownership rights.

The question is Who knew What and When in this administration. The administration has been stonewalling the congressional investigation for nearly two years now with the AG probably going to face impeachment or civil trial for Contempt of Congress. That alone should tell you that somebody "high up" knows something and had a hand in this stupid plan.



dmaestro
07-Aug-12, 18:25

Softaire continues with refuted conspiracy theories. The mexicans are not manfactuing all these guns. And the number of guns actually allowed over the border during the operations were not many thousands and also were not most of the guns found at crime scenes.
softaire
07-Aug-12, 21:39

I was quoting the ATF. Who are you quoting?
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