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U.S set to become biggest oil producer
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shamash
12-Nov-12, 09:07

U.S set to become biggest oil producer
from the London Financial Times:

"Breaking News

"U.S. set to become biggest oil producer
The U.S. will overtake Saudi Arabia and Russia to become the world’s largest global oil producer
by 2017, according to the International Energy Agency, in one of the clearest signs yet of how
the shale revolution is redrawing the global energy landscape.

"This marks the first time the IEA, the developed world’s most respected energy forecaster,
has made such a prediction. It underscores how the drilling boom that has unlocked North America’s
vast reserves of hard-to-get-at oil and gas is changing the world’s oil balance."
janheckman
12-Nov-12, 09:49

Cool Shamash!
Does this mean that America will now be able to export MORE than the 50%+ of oil that currently touches it's soil?
ace_kyi
12-Nov-12, 12:19

Oil from fracking?
money.cnn.com

1,109
comments
U.S. to become biggest oil producer - IEA
By Mark Thompson @CNNMoneyNovember 12, 2012: 9:48 AM ET

Oil and gas boom puts US on track for energy independence

LONDON (CNNMoney) -- The United States will overtake Saudi Arabia to become the world's biggest oil producer before 2020, and will be energy independent 10 years later, according to a new forecast by the International Energy Agency.

The recent resurgence in oil and gas production, and efforts to make the transport sector more efficient, are radically reshaping the nation's energy market, reported Paris-based IEA in its World Energy Outlook.





North America would become a net exporter of oil around 2030, the global organization said Monday.

"The United States, which currently imports around 20% of its total energy needs, becomes all but self sufficient in net terms -- a dramatic reversal of the trend seen in most other energy importing countries," the IEA stated.

The U.S. is experiencing an oil boom, in large part thanks to high world prices and new technologies, including hydraulic fracking, that have made the extraction of oil and gas from shale rock commercially viable.

From 2008 to 2011, U.S. crude oil production jumped 14%, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Natural gas production is up by about 10% over the same period.

Related: the facts about oil and gas under Obama

According to the IEA, U.S. natural gas prices will rise to $5.5 per million British thermal units (MBtu) in 2020, from around $3.5 per MBtu this year, driven by rising domestic demand rather than a forecast increase in exports to Asia and other markets.

"In our projections, 93% of the natural gas produced in the United States remains available to meet domestic demand," it said. "Exports on the scale that we project would not play a large role in domestic price setting."

North America's new role in the world energy markets will accelerate a change in the direction of international oil trade toward Asia, and underscore the importance of securing supply routes from the Middle East to China and India.



The IEA said it expects global energy demand to increase by more than a third by 2035, with China, India and the Middle East accounting for 60% of the growth, and more than outweighing reduced demand in developed economies.

That will push world average oil import prices up to $125 per barrel (in 2011 dollars) by 2035, from around $100 per barrel at present, but they could be much higher if Iraq fails to deliver on its production potential.

Iraq is set to become the second largest oil exporter by the 2030s, as it expands output to take advantage of demand from fast growing Asian economies.

Related: Iraq oil output to double by 2020

New fuel economy standards in the U.S. and efforts by China, Japan and the European Union to reduce demand would help to make up for a disappointing decade for global energy efficiency.

"But even with these and other new policies in place, a significant share of the potential to improve energy efficiency -- four-fifths of the potential in the buildings sector and more than half in industry -- still remains untapped," the IEA stated.

Policymakers are still missing out on potential benefits for energy security, economic growth and the environment.

Growth in demand over the years to 2035 would be halved and oil demand would peak just before 2020, if governments took action to remove barriers preventing the implementation of energy efficiency measures that are already economically viable, the global organization said.
janheckman
12-Nov-12, 12:25

But Ace:
If that's all true, why weren't the Koch Bros spending their fortune on Obama??
janheckman
12-Nov-12, 12:28

Ace
The Koches do like (black) oil don't they?
ace_kyi
12-Nov-12, 12:29

Increased oil production nothing to do with Obama's oil policy!
NashNash19> DPCFOH•5 hours ago−

Obama has technically "hindered" oil production since the amount of permits issued on federal lands decreased dramatically during his term for onshore and offshore production. These increases have come from production on private land drilling.
Not sure why this article is a political issue since domestic oil production increase has nothing to do with anything Obama nor any other politician has done the past 4 years, it is strictly about newer technologies being available like fracking. Don't break out the champagne bottles yet as these numbers are PROJECTIONS ONLY, don't forget is was only 4 years ago that the gloom and doom "peak oil" theories were viral in the media!


Se777en> NashNash19•5 hours ago

As far as permits issued on federal lands, some of these oil companies have just claimed up a lot of land in competitive land-grabs and are not drilling on it. Obama put in a policy of "Use it or lose it" so other companies that legitimately wanted to drill will be able to take advantage of that land. Therefore Obama has done the opposite of hindering oil production. Now the land that was claimed but remained unused, is now getting used.

janheckman
12-Nov-12, 12:43

Well
"Peak oil (etc)" will certainly happen is we don't find ways to conserve, renew, or reduce the demand -- alternatives and such --- for our resources.
ace_kyi
12-Nov-12, 13:17

Obama is just lucky !
Obama was born at the right time and at the right place. He was re-elected because he saves America from the brink of economic disaster. The analogy is similar to saving Titanic ship which really sank. All his ambitious plans cost money. People were wondering where will all the money coming from to fulfill all his dreams. Our economy depends on availability of cheaper American oil. People thought the solution to more cheaper oil is more drilling on land or offshore which Obama opposes. The recent technology of hydraulic fracking produces a lot of natural gas plus smaller amount of oil. Farmers become instant millionaires when they allow hydraulic fracking underneath their farmlands to produce oil and gas. The hydraulic fracking is done mostly on private lands. When America has oil boom again, people should invest in alternate energy sources because oil may not last longer with this rate of higher demand and consumption. Otherwise, history of economic disaster will repeat again when oil runs out. Obama is just lucky. At the end of his term if we have plenty of oil, America will beome richer and more prosperous nation again. Oil boom will save America but I am sure Obama will take credit for it.



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