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markallen
23-Sep-06, 21:17

Investors?
Are there any aspiring investors here? Have you any opinions on what might be the most lucrative
investment themes/domains over the next few years?
qiwi
23-Sep-06, 23:00

Shares to watch.....
Assuming Bush remains president for the remainder of his term... there should be a continuing rise in
pharmaceutical stocks, especially those companys specialising in treatments for head-aches and diarroea.
Any company specialising in prosthetic limbs could also be worth keeping an eye on...
proginoskes
24-Sep-06, 05:34

park a decent percentage (~20% of investmets) in gold - NOT gold stock, but real gold
vulgaire
24-Sep-06, 06:01

i dont know how it is said in english
actions minieres
prospecting compagnies?
just like loto, but with an actual chance of winning.. hehe, nah i think land owning is the most lucrative one, especially if you have connections in the construction buisness
leo_london
24-Sep-06, 06:25

Property/land has certainly out-performed any other type of investment here in the UK...unless you were very lucky in picking up some really hot stocks at the right time.
My " pension " is in the form of property now, I got fed up with being at the mercy of the so-called " financial experts " in the banks, insurance companies etc..I could do just as well blindfolded with a pin.
proginoskes
24-Sep-06, 06:36

land and property are always good investmets if you can afford them. remember taking out a loan for land
means the bank own the land until you get it paid for . . .
zorroloco
24-Sep-06, 08:23

real estate
real estate is, historically, the best and safest investment. but, it does require capital, and as jd points out, you do not own it until you pay it off.
leo_london
24-Sep-06, 09:05

True..but for property purchase you can borrow on very favourable rates of interest over here...does the same apply in the US ?
zorroloco
24-Sep-06, 09:12

yes
some of the lowest interest rates one can find are for property and houses...5-6% usually. it is even lower than for student loans in many cases.
leo_london
24-Sep-06, 09:28

Jeff..
Yes, about the same here. You can get into trouble of course. At the end of the property boom of the 1980's people were borrowing 100% ( sometimes 110% ! ) the value of a property ( no deposit/down payment )... the downturn left many with negative equity in their homes. However, even counting that downside, if they did manage to ride things out they would now still be looking at a great return on their money.
zorroloco
24-Sep-06, 10:03

interest only
there are many folks who are buying property now with interest only loans. that means they do not pay any towards the principal for some number of years. very dangerous!!!
markallen
25-Sep-06, 16:59

jd
"park a decent percentage (~20% of investmets) in gold - NOT gold stock, but real gold"

What's your reasoning here JD? Ae your thoughts driven by concern or the US currency? If o, would your
avice be true for others outside the US?
markallen
25-Sep-06, 17:02

Property...I dunno but the price of property has gone up exponetially these last few years, In UK, US and Oz
anyway. I'm feeling a bit wary about whr property prices will travl these next several years given
tendencies for extreme movemnts to revert to the mean. Of course an increase in inflation would be good
for property. Who thinks well see high inflation in the near future and why?
proginoskes
30-Sep-06, 07:15

mark
***What's your reasoning here JD? Ae your thoughts driven by concern or the US currency? If o, would
your
avice be true for others outside the US? ***

My reasoning here is pretty simple. An oucce of gold, is and ounce of gold, is an ounce of gold. Gold
maintains it's value relative to everything. For example, one ounce of gold, a $50 gold piece, in 1900
could buy you a decent suit. An ounce of gold today, ~$600 by wieght, can still buy you a decent suit.
One more example in 1900 400 ounces could buy you a reasonable house (400 x 50 = 2000). That same
400 oz can still buy you a reasonable house (400 X 600 = 240,000) - unless you live in california  .

Gold has value because it is gold regardless of currency. Gold *is* money, as opposed to the fiat
currency shell game we all play along with. You can play in the shell game and make fake money, and
since we can generally use this fake money like real money, for all intents and purposes you've made real
money investing this way - so playing the "game" is not a horrible thing. Gold on the other hand is unique
and survives any craziness in any of the markets because it is real.

At the the end of the day if you buy $10,000 in stock, you own some paper saying you own that much
stock. As long as well agree that means something, cool. But in the event of problems such as a stock
crash or even worst case scenario: corruption that will not recognize your paper asset. Gold suffers from
none of these problem.

Since it can be somewhat problematic to own gold because it takes up space, needs to be protected, etc.
and since the shell game is still generally accepted by all, I think it's prudent to drop about 20% of what
you are ging to invest in gold and silver.
soulcrates
30-Sep-06, 22:44

That's impressive material jdh,
Gold is indeed one of the most consistent forms of currency. I'm sure diamonds are on that list as well. I have heard however that buying land near booming cities will get young investors profits that they could use to gain more secure investments such as gold and diamonds, since not everyone can affort to stockpile these products. I've seen advertisements on television about getting loans to buy properties, and go that route, but I think undeveloped land is a safer investment. Ever seen the movie "Money Pit"?
deadofknight
01-Oct-06, 00:54

You folks
dont have a clue about land, property, etc...from what Ive read here. If you want to invest in land, find
yourself a land broker that will assist you in the transaction. The cost is borne by the seller and you can
collect a portfolio of candidates and your broker can help you understand why or why not any piece of
land is a good investment.

It is just as easy to buy bad land as a bad stock, maybe even easier. Included in the transaction are a
wide variety of technical and legal issues to be dealt with including, ROW's, easements of all kinds, title
exceptions which can be very technical and an attorney will need to assist you. For example, the last
parcel of property I purchased was zoned for 340 homes, but the title exceptions were 2 inches thick. A
process noone that isnt a professional should tackle without being ready to spend due diligence money.

Further, a review of private and public utilities would be wise, as well as an EIS (Environmental Impact
Statement), including assurances from the Seller as to the condition of the property -- what it was used
for, what kind of hazerdous materials could be on the site.

These are only a few of the many complicated considerations I would look at before buying any dirt.


BTW, the gold theory kinda made me scratch my head, (I found it both amusing and interesting) as your
theory means that gold doesnt ever appreciate, in terms of its relative value....its worth as much 100
years ago in goods and services as it does today. There may be some very good reasons to buy gold, but
the theory stated above was rather odd, and I thought it was kinda remarkable that gold has behaved that
way...

Why not buy tax free government bonds? You make a little money, sometimes as much as 7 or 8% and
you dont hav to pay taxes on your gain. If your theory is that paper isnt worth anything if a catastrophic
government collapse,etc... were to occur that wiped out currencies and entire markets, you gotta ask
yourself this question -- how do you like your gold sir, medium rare...and would you care for some thing
slick to help it slide down.

But hey, maybe Im an idiot, since soulcrates was "impressed" and seems to have a handle on
undeveloped land and the safety issues relative to it....who am I to barge in and laugh at you all.
deadofknight
01-Oct-06, 00:59

BTW
jeff is right about the careless/reckless way that people have invested in homes on poor terms and
thought they could just sign a few papers and ride the wave up and sell. Anyone that did, or does that
deserves to go bankrupt when the market turns as it is/has, since they never brought any value to the deal.

I hope they all go bust and lose their shirts. That kind of behavior is assenine and is nothing more than a
roll fo the dice -- a crap shoot and an attempt to steal from the "risk - reward" equation.

And yes, it hurts me to agree with jeff. But at least Im honest.
markallen
01-Oct-06, 02:59

Point taken...
about property DOK . Every investment has a value and i guess the pilosophy i TRY to follow is to try to
buy investents below thier intrinic value. Harder to do than wish though. I used to love the property game
(at a small DIY renovation scale) but in Oz the consensus is that it's done its rush and is close to bubble
teritory (unless major inflation supervenes). Of course if you are "adding value" to land through
development there are many different issues to factor in. If i were in the US I'd support buying gold as it's
hard to believe the currency will do well moving forward. Gold though as DOK says has no intrinsic return
and really only ats as a hedge against inflation/catastrophic financial collapses. Whatare folks thinking
about the general state of econimic health?
deadofknight
01-Oct-06, 03:18

Mark
I dont even see gold as a hedge against catastrophy...I see a nice years supply of food, a pair of generator,
1,000 gallons of diesel to run (buried in my yard), guns, and water...I have a natural source and 50 gallon
drums which I change regularly.

Oh, the food is rotated, its the stuff my family actually eats, not some military packet.

In a catastrophic global crisis, you will be able to buy a new car with a well cooked burger and fries....
deadofknight
01-Oct-06, 03:25

Sorry for being a hog here....
its always good to have cash. Spread across numerous banks, since FDIC only covers 150K...when things go
down the toilet, there are always great buys, and when interest rates climb, its fun to watch it accumulate
every month at a clip that can be staggering....Assuming your able to do so...

You asked about the economy. The economy is rock solid right now. Its a story that is not being told, for
what I think, are political reasons. But just about every indicator imaginable says: A-OK...

Housing has been a big factor in that. And the big national companies have lost as much as 30% of there
value, but Im of the opinion that the economy as it pertains to housing has been running to hot. Interest
rates are still good, however, and a slow down will actually be healthy in my professional opinion.
leo_london
01-Oct-06, 03:35

I think you can Differentiate between land " speculation " and property " investment ". If you are buying a " home ", a property somewhere that someone would wish to live for the forseeable future, it seems a pretty safe investment to me. You have the added attraction of rental income that should contribute to at least part of your loan payments. Obviously, you employ experts to do a careful search, ascertain legal title, check future developments etc.. they should, if they are in any way competent, come up with any pitfalls. There are risks, the demographics of an area can change, and in the end it comes down to the criteria of any investment... supply and demand...and the demand for homes here far outstrips supply.
markallen
01-Oct-06, 03:53

DOK
I'm curious as to which economic indicators you refer to? My understanding is that both persosnal and
goverment US debt have never been larger and are growing exponentially. Not true?
pawntificator
01-Oct-06, 04:13

I suspect
that anyone who has enough money doesn't have to worry about any economic disasters unless all their money is electronic.

deadofknight
01-Oct-06, 04:30

Mark
Personal and Govt sspending are hardly an argument for anything. I idont have the time to go into an in
depth "economic indicators" post...but if you google the issue, you will find that the economy is

1. Predictable right now...which is a huge factor.
2. Gas Prices are going down
3. Unemployment is scraping the bottom of the barrel
4. The housing issue I raised above is behaving as expected or better
5. US productivity is up
6. Teh dollar ended the third quarter up
7. The DOW Jones is about to touch historical highs: The DOW reflects "Main street"
8. People are optimistic
9. Spending is slowing...which means inflation has checked itself and the FED need not interfere
10. ....welll mark the list goes on...
markallen
01-Oct-06, 04:35

Thanks DOK I'll take another look
proginoskes
01-Oct-06, 08:35

DOK
Sometimes you can come across so caustic   I heard, "You guys are all a bunch of idiots!" I begning to
realize this is just *you* and you're not trying to be an arse, but occasionally it comes accross that way

I'd like to respond about gold. Gold has been money for all of recorded human history and continues to be
money. In the event of catastrophe it still money, I won't even need any steak sauce (unlike any other
paper assest). Although, gold is a better asseset to sink some wealth into as a reserve and silver is a
much better for use in buying and selling.

Anyway, my suggestion was that whatever you invest, have about 20% of your investments be in gold, or
silver I suppose. You can still sink 80% into the paper assets, which even though it really is a ginat scam,
works like money because everyone still agrees its money and because of that other types of investments
like stock, bonds, and funds are definitely a consideration. Let me rephrase that: it's not a bad idea to
invest in stocks or bonds either.

I agree with you about preparing for disaster with generators, food, water, etc. Buy a lot of ammunition
and wiskey - both items easily used in barter - if we're talking hardcore disaster contingency

Finally, you cannot trust the numbers about our economy that ome from the government or those who
work as gvernment lapdogs. Anything from MSNBC, CNN, FOXNEWS is suspect. The economy is not
doing as well they would like us to think.
deadofknight
02-Oct-06, 00:06

What part of the economy
in particular is bothering you? National debt? (Fair question...Bush is a Bastard for spending the way he
has)...or is it, something else...

Ahhhh...perhaps durable goods demand? The auto industry has suffered...but none of these (at least in
my Caustic Opinion) are enough to paint the picture as a whole. And as a whole, I think that the economy
is doing well. Nothing more, nothing less.

How about trade issues? China as a competitor? I would be quite interested in what exactly it is that
makes you think "The economy is not doing as well they would like us to think." BTW, you strike me as
paranoid when you round up all the news outlets from Left to Right and declare them "lapdogs."

In the end, I think the best thing to do is earn a lot of money early and then play safe. One wife, one
house. No need to wipe out huge numbers on cars...(I think car payments are for the stupid that havent
the brains to save and buy somehting that gets them from A to  . It was the first
thing to go when I was able. People spend as much on housing as they do on automobiles. I find that
ridiculous and stupid.

In reference to your gold comments. They are, again, in my caustic opinion, unfounded and lacking in
real financial understanding. And I find youre remark about me "not trying to be an arse" exceptionally
insulting, since I try quite hard to be an *arse* a lot of the time, and often, my caustic remarks are met
with patience or people just dont get it...

See, you heard right when I read the posts in this thread -- it was an easy conclusion to draw "You guys
are all a bunch of idiots!" when it comes to the matters being discussed in this thread. Any one that didnt
read my comment as a general insult missed my intent. "Idiots" was the point...

You, on the otherhand, are just jealous...people hate the wealthy for no good reason at all. Its just the
haves vs. the have nots. Interestingly, the wealthy have no malice toward the mediocre masses in their
grey suits walking to work or taking the bus.



***careful now*** there might be a hook in that worm...
pawntificator
02-Oct-06, 01:03

heh heh
Good old DOK...

I wasn't insulted to be called an idiot about investing. I've been reading this thread with interest.

So gold is out...then what is the best way to make money if you have a little money to start?

<sits back and waits for the miracle cure, 0 down, make 30 K a month! Act now!>
mozz
02-Oct-06, 03:10

I could do with this silver bullet too. I got divorced a couple of years ago and financially it crippled me. A condition likely to remain until the children both finish school. I can find a few hundred dollars here and there to invest but that usually requires a lot of speculation. All of the strong stocks that one would invest in to create a stable base are expensive enough that you can't actually buy the small quantities that I could afford.
deadofknight
02-Oct-06, 03:25

Pawn
You know I wasnt calling you an idiot. Id PM you and use much harsher lanaguage if I needed to unwind...

BIG FYI: Stocks are designed to maintain wealth...not create it. I know...there are growth stocks out
there...blah, blah blah...

Im telling you stocks are meant to maintain wealth not create it. You gotta earn 3-4 percent just to okeep
up with inflation year in and year out. Only a few ways to make real money. And it would take a lot more
capitalistic maturity than the average guy in this liberal think tank has, in my caustic opinion..

Rule #1: You cannot steal, rob or plunder from the "risk/reward" equation. So, if you want to make a lot of
money, you better learn how to create value.

Other rules to follow...or not...perhaps the esteemed gentlemen of this choir arent interested in my ideas on
the subject.
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