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kingofpawns 07-Nov-06, 15:19	ABC: Preliminary Exit Poll Results Show Disdain for Bush... Nov. 7, 2006 — Preliminary exit poll results indicate that nearly six in 10 voters today disapprove of the way President Bush is handling his job. About four in 10 approve. That's down from 53 percent approval in 2004, and 67 percent just before the 2002 midterm elections. About four in 10 "strongly" disapprove of the president's work, more than double the number of strong approvers. Intensity of sentiment for and against, by contrast, was about equal in 2004: Thirty-three percent strongly approved of the president's performance, and 35 percent strongly disapproved. And in 2002, strong approvers dominated, quite a contrast from today. The war in Iraq is a serious concern. In preliminary exit poll results, nearly six in 10 voters disapprove of the war, while about four in 10 approve. Approval of the war was higher, 51 percent, in the 2004 election. And about four in 10 now "strongly" disapprove of the war, up from 32 percent two years ago. Related to concerns about the war in Iraq, voters today are more apt to say the country's seriously off on the wrong track than to say it's going in the right direction. The last time this view was more negative than positive was back in 1994, when Republicans took control of the House of Representatives. The president, at least to some extent, is looking like a drag on his party this election. In preliminary exit poll results, voters by more than a 10-point margin, are more apt to say they're voting to show opposition to Bush rather than to show him support. More than a third are voting to show opposition to the president. That compares with 21 percent in 1998, during the Clinton-Lewinsky scandal, and 27 percent in 1994.
soulcrates 07-Nov-06, 19:35	I don't trust exit polls. They're like spreads for bookies in sports. Used to throw the public off the scent. I say go with your gut. With the disappointments stacking up for the GOP, in scandals, economic disasters, and botched reasoning in general, it's about time America wakes up and realizes that we still have a voice.
bobbynox 07-Nov-06, 21:58	well, the turn-out is much higher than expected. I don't know if that bodes well, or ill for your dream-team, but it is good for democracy. No?
soulcrates 07-Nov-06, 22:28	It is great for democracy. If we can have the power of the people speak for us, we will be on the right track. Encouragement for voting is always proper.
proginoskes 07-Nov-06, 22:57	exit polls are a great check and balance - and they happen to be pretty accurate
soulcrates 07-Nov-06, 23:45	Jdh, could you explain why exit polls are a great check and balance?
proginoskes 08-Nov-06, 07:55	soul the exit polls are the best weapon against election fraud. for instance there is no way you could manipulate a win in an election where the exit polls are 30/70 against the "winner".
flcrackers 08-Nov-06, 09:20	jdh71... the most famous exit poll ever taken was "Dewey beats Truman". Manipulation?
proginoskes 08-Nov-06, 09:32	that wasn't an exit poll that was a headline and so what? it was close election and it was called wrong. exit polls are accurate to about around 3 points +/-, so in close elections they may not be terribly helpful, but in 5 points or better exit polls are very, very predictive. The polls keep elections honest - at least more honest and helps keep corruption down.
soulcrates 08-Nov-06, 09:43	In a sense jdh, but it seems like people aren't very honest, and could be falsifying their information in the exit polls, and voting the way they actually feel in the elections. Exit polls are just like spreads in sports games, unnecessary. I've never been asked what my thoughts are for the exit polls, but have been a consistent voter for years.
proginoskes 08-Nov-06, 09:47	soul sure . . . I suppose you could completely tell the exit poll a different vote than the one you actual made, but who would do that and why would they do it
soulcrates 08-Nov-06, 09:50	I don't know. All I know is that I've not once been asked, so who are they asking? If they're doing a primary exit poll only in the inner cities, they'd come up with a predominantly democrat exit poll, but if it were near a country club it would be predominantly republican. There are so many ways to manipulate statistics, and exit polls are just another example.
proginoskes 08-Nov-06, 09:50	soul you could manipulate exit polls I suppose, but to what end?
soulcrates 08-Nov-06, 09:54	To the point of consciously skewing results. This could be a subliminal way of making the people vote in one way or another. The old peer pressure routine, or go with the flow. If the exit polls are manipulated to lean towards the democrats, people on the fence will, if unsure about a vote, lean towards the majority. Exit polls aren't nearly scientific, or they would keep names and votes, and compare them to their actual votes in the elections, but as far as I know there is almost an anonymous feel to them, which furthers my disregard for their results.
proginoskes 08-Nov-06, 10:00	soul there has been scientific analysis of exit polls vs. actual result and have shown strong correlation - the only problem with that kind of manipulation is that it would be shown easily the next day to be patently false - and then you'd be elected for election fruad. it's not the right venue to manipulate - too risky
soulcrates 08-Nov-06, 10:17	Spurious correlations, I would assume. Election fraud? Like that's never happened, you're right too risky Jeb. Check out this video! www.unoriginal.co.uk" target="_blank">-> www.unoriginal.co.uk
soulcrates 09-Nov-06, 17:38	Looks like the elections weren't correctly "exit polled". Am I right, or maybe I just read them wrong?

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