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 New ELOThe publication of the latest November list this week contained some 83,000 names; but regardless of how many names are actually on the list, the important part will always be who is up and who is down in the top 10 - and for the first time ever, we have four players now rated 2800 and above. Vladimir Kramnik's recent good form sees the former world champion rejoin the "2800 club", though he still remains in the #4 berth. Magnus Carlsen is still the #1 ranked player, slightly increasing his lead over world champion Vishy Anand in #2 spot. Lev Aronian holds on to position #3, all of which leaves the top four unchanged. But there are some significant movers and shakers elsewhere on the list. Teimour Radjabov and Alexander Morozevich are the seismic gainers by jumping eight places to rejoin the top 10 at #5 and #9 respectively. Hikaru Nakamura also bounces back into the top 10 at #10 (and in the process one of the worst kept secrets in chess came out this week, with the latest edition of New in Chess magazine confirming from Garry Kasparov that - like he did with Carlsen - he's now coaching the top US player). Meanwhile, Alexander Grischuk slips out of the top 10, now ranking at #13, and there are even bigger falls for Gata Kamsky and Ruslan Ponomariov, down to #19 and #25 respectively. With 47 players above 2700, you practically need this rating to be in the top 50 in the world. The scale is not steep enough and we find the 100th position at 2651, just 49 points away. Interesting is the comparison with a list from 2008 where there were no 2800+ players, 2700 meant you are on the verge of top 20, while 2627 guaranteed you a spot in top 100. Statistically, the average rating of the top 100 players grows to the psychological 2700 barrier. That means that a player needs 56 ELO points more than in the year 2000 to hope for a spot in top 100. November FIDE top 10: 1. M Carlsen, 2826 (+3); 2. V Anand, 2811 (-6); 3. L Aronian, 2802 (-5); 4. V Kramnik, 2800 (+9); 5. T Radjabov, 2781 (+29); 6. V Ivanchuk, 2775 (+10); 7. V Topalov, 2768 (=); 8. S Karjakin, 2763 (-9); 9. A Morozevich, 2762 (+25); 10. H Nakamura, 2758 (+5). |
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New ELO Any thoughts about an inflation factor in the Elo rating system? |
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ELO Inflation It has been suggested that an overall increase in ratings reflects greater skill. The advent of strong chess computers allows a somewhat objective evaluation of the absolute playing skill of past chess masters, based on their recorded games, but this is also a measure of how computerlike the players' moves are, not merely a measure of how strongly they have played. The number of people with ratings over 2700 has increased. Around 1979 there was only one active player (Anatoly Karpov) with a rating this high. This increased to 15 players in 1994, while 33 players have this rating in 2009, which has made this top echelon of chess mastery less exclusive. One possible cause for this inflation was the rating floor, which for a long time was at 2200, and if a player dropped below this they were stricken from the rating list. As a consequence, players at a skill level just below the floor would only be on the rating list if they were overrated, and this would cause them to feed points into the rating pool. In 1995, the USCF experienced that several young scholastic players were improving faster than what the rating system was able to track. As a result, established players with stable ratings started to lose rating points to the young and underrated players. Several of the older established players were frustrated over what they considered an unfair rating decline, and some even quit chess over it. Here are the highest rated players on the first USCF rating list. This list was as of July 31, 1950: Reuben Fine 2817 Samuel Reshevsky 2770 Alexander Kevitz 2610 Arthur W. Dake 2598 A. C. Simonson 2596 Fred Reinfeld 2593 Arnold S. Denker 2575 Isaac Kashdan 2574 I. A. Horowitz 2558 Abraham Kupchik 2538 David S. Polland 2521 George N. Treysman 2521 Larry Evans 2484 Herbert Seidman 2451 Max Pavey 2442 George Shainswit 2442 Albert S. Pincus 2422 Arthur S. Bisguier 2394 George Kramer 2394 Herman Steiner 2394 Donald Byrne 2392 Weaver W. Adams 2383 H. Hahlbohm 2376 A. E. Santasiere 2368 Robert Byrne 2352 Hermann V. Hesse 2352 The first actual Elo rating list was published in Chess Review for September 1969, page 260. This was an international list, not a USCF list. Here are the top players: Fischer 2720 Spassky 2690 Korchnoi 2680 Botvinnik 2660 Petrosian 2650 Larsen 2630 Smyslov 2620 Portisch 2620 Geller 2620 Polugaevsky 2610 Stein 2610 Keres 2610 Tal 2610 |
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