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Rating Manipulation
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lord_shiva
27-Feb-24, 13:50

Rating Manipulation
<<What David said about players work harder on team games than challenge games is real.
Several players have said that to me.>>

No doubt. Making gross blunders on private games is a mild form of rating manipulation. What we have identified with catseye is well beyond simple mistakes. Queen sacrifices half a dozen times in a row? That kind of blunder is willful.

I have been using Mikemate's advice on the ratio of team score to team games, but I've only recently begun looking at the team rating. Maximizing private game point loss is another useful idea. I've not been using the filter, only running down the list of high point losses. If those were team games I figure it was legitimate, but if they are league or private games then I've been looking at the game. Does the player lead out with the queen and pitch her early on, like catseye? Do the games end before 30 moves? Does the player resign with big positional and material advantages? It's a lot of work. The number of moves are on the right so you can skip games that run long--these guys don't tend to waste a lot of time throwing games. They want to pummel the rating fast.

The filter would certainly make searching and reviewing easier, as would using a desktop instead of a dinky little phone.
mikemate
27-Feb-24, 16:24

Compare their team game rating vs current rating. What do you see?

paradiesvogel
buddhatomm
catseye
mikemate
27-Feb-24, 16:26

And then compare their team game winning percentages.
mikemate
27-Feb-24, 16:42

I have believed for a very long time that we (Captains and co-Captains) are to blame. We all
use the 90 day rating as an "excuse" to decline challenges. We use current ratings to accept
challenges. We are wrong!

90 day high rating penalizes fast players with many games (these are the most important players
on our teams). Instead of using current rating as the most important stat when pairing, I would
suggest using team game rating as the #1 stat when pairing. If that were the case rating
manipulation would fade away, lol.
stonedhenge
29-Feb-24, 03:47

I will look into this issue ~asap.
stonedhenge
29-Feb-24, 03:49

I should have seen this problem~~~~~~~~long time ago..
stonedhenge
29-Feb-24, 03:52

You are correct~~~~~~~~~~~~~`what is best way to handle this.??
lord_shiva
29-Feb-24, 11:01

More examples

game
31. dxe6 Be8?
32. Qd6+ Kf6
33. e7+ Kf7
34. Qe6#

This one is a recent challenge but I couldn’t see anything obvious.
game

From earlier challenges:
game
24. Rah1 Qh8? Is this reasonable?
25. Rxh8 Rc7
26. Qh4

To be fair, he does win the occasional private challenge:
game

But I feel my suspicion remains justified.
lord_shiva
29-Feb-24, 11:04

Stoned
I hope the other captains will weigh in. Planet Chess gave catseye the boot.
stonedhenge
29-Feb-24, 11:29

Just remove him from the team.??
lord_shiva
29-Feb-24, 12:11

Blacklist
This forum will periodically list blacklisted players. I will not add Buddhatomm unless there is a consensus. No one should be blacklisted in the opinion of just one captain or co-captain.

You can do whatever you want, but there should be some organized guidelines upon which we reach consensus. I don’t want anyone treated unfairly, but especially the honest players who suffer blatant gaming.

Mikemate is sure I’m mistaken about Buddha, and he has good points in his favor.
dynamic-dv
01-Mar-24, 01:38

@stoned re para...
if you have a problem with him just don't give him any team games for a while and see what happens.
Being honest I have looked at all his history and will decline any challenge I see him a part of.
stonedhenge
01-Mar-24, 04:12

Thank you for your thoughts.
Will wait until more data is gathered before getting mean.
mikemate
01-Mar-24, 11:45

I don't have any knowledge of who buddhatomm is but I see he/she has been on Gameknot
since Sep 2011. He has completed 2,175 games with only 13 time outs (0.5%), and has
completed (only) 179 team games (8% of all games). His team rating is currently very low at
1271 with a record of 44-48-8 in team games.

If this player is a rating manipulator, he/she is very bad at that activity.
mikemate
01-Mar-24, 11:48

BTW, his recent record vs team stonedhenge is 1-4-1. A previous record was 2-2-0.
mikemate
01-Mar-24, 11:56

But also, David, Dave's post is important. I looked at zero of his completed game history.
dynamic-dv
01-Mar-24, 21:13

I see nothing wrong with buddhatomm he certainly isn't outclassing his team opponents which is what manipulators normally do. His team win percentage is actually lower than his total %.

Just my thoughts.
king_0_nothing
03-Mar-24, 00:20

He's played scorbin 7 times and holds a 3-2-2 record against him.

sirteve he's played twice and is 0-2.

He's 2-1 against marky131313

I don't think he's cheating either. As an opposing captain I would match him because he's at one of his peaks and seems to be dropping again. I would try to find one of my players that is rated higher than they should be to play him.

If you look at his rivals, he has the following:
+39 against his top 50 rivals with most games completed (8 or more) 53.4 Win %
+75 against his top 100 rivals 54.2 Win %
+109 against his top 150 rivals 54.8 Win %
+113 against his top 210 rivals (min 4 games completed) 54.1 Win %

Of that list, he has 1,378 completed games. That's 63% of his total games played.

Against his 50 lowest rated opponents, he has a score of +68 out of 85 games. His lowest rated true loss comes against al-riyaty rated 1213 and against whom he holds a 13-2-2 overall advantage against. He does have some losses to sub 900 players, but they are timeouts in the first 3 moves (two times). He has a draw against roger64 which was in August of 22, which Roger could have been rated anywhere from 1175 to 1250 at that time.

By my theory, manipulators sometimes like to play their charity opponents frequently, but not always. However, a manipulator would certainly not have a +68 record against their bottom 50 opponents.

Compare his stats against mine and I'm +46 against my bottom 50 opponents out of 65 games. On average my bottom 50 are rated 1069 and his are rated 1180. He's won 80% of his games against bottom 50 and I've won 76%. Out of this statistic I omitted anybody who didn't have a rating, as it's too difficult to track what their rating should have been before they left the site. These would all be situated around the 1200 mark.

If he's cheating he's really good at hiding it and really bad at capitalizing on it  
king_0_nothing
03-Mar-24, 18:55

docs.google.com

This is a spreadsheet for the evaluator tool I created. If you download it you can use it. I have a number of different evaluations listed on the tabs below where you can paste different players as needed.

Don't change the colorful areas, that's where the formulas are. If you mess up a formula, download the sheet again.
lord_shiva
03-Mar-24, 19:07

Buddhatomm
Maybe my guy is just overrated then.

I’m convinced— he’s innocent. My apologies for suggesting otherwise. I muffed this one, mostly because I’m still fumbling about what I’m doing.
king_0_nothing
03-Mar-24, 19:08

I don't think it's a big deal, you weren't sure so you went to committee. That's the wisest thing you can do  
mikemate
03-Mar-24, 20:21

I agree with JJ, it is no big deal. Being quiet if you think a player is manipulating his/her rating
would be a whole lot worse. These forums are good for exchanging ideas.

Now I wish Gameknot had a semi-automatic team game pairing system.
mikemate
03-Mar-24, 20:30

I have always said there is a fine line between playing harder in team games than other games,
especially the "let's play" games. The systems the problem. Does anyone agree that pairing by
team game rating would be better?
dynamic-dv
03-Mar-24, 23:19

I agree with Mike, team game rating is a much better indicator and also keep an eye on %team game wins compared to all game wins.
royal_knight1
19-Mar-24, 23:30

Manipulator
Player paradiesvogel has joined sc wengern 5813 i have told the captain.
stonedhenge
20-Mar-24, 03:10

Paradiesvogel~~~~~~~~~~was removed from our team 2 days ago.
piero51
20-Mar-24, 04:04

Manipulator
From Captain "stonedhenge":
"Paradiesvogel~~~~~~~~~~was removed from our team 2 days ago."
---
Fantastico!!!!!! Perfect!! Thanks Captain David

From white-knight1:
"Player paradiesvogel has joined sc wengern 5813 i have told the captain."
---
Me too.
Piero IHS TEAM ITALIA Captain
royal_knight1
20-Mar-24, 19:02

Paradiesvogel has been removed from the wengern team.
mikemate
20-Mar-24, 22:07

He may have been banned from team games permanently.
lord_shiva
21-Mar-24, 06:24

March Madness
Paradiesvogel was removed from StonedHenge in the 13th or 14th, not the 18th. Games were assigned the 13th for StonedHenge and on the 14th for Wengern.

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