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Biden to defeat Trump in 2024 election, Allan Lichtman
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FromMessage
ace-of-aces
22-Mar-24, 05:55

Biden to defeat Trump in 2024 election, Allan Lichtman
youtu.be
https:///youtu.be/QuteF5-V3MA?si=Wp2dFleM_XLXgdOQ
www.youtube.com
https:///www.youtube.com/live/XgefWrelq78?si=RKXrOxvEonvt6Cil
Allan Lichtman is a professor of history at American university in Wash. DC. He claims that he accurately predicted who will be the president in elections for the last 40 years based on his 13 keys. If 6 or less of the keys are false, then the candidate will win the presidential election.
en.wikipedia.org
https:///en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House
@jderoma4382
1 month ago
Here are his 13 Keys. I see maybe 2 in favor of Biden. Several favoring Trump and a few that are either neutral or too early to tell. Right now, my money is on Trump.
1. Midterm gains: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
2. No primary contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
3. Incumbent seeking re-election: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
4. No third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
5. Strong short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
6. Strong long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
7. Major policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
8. No social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
9. No scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
10. No foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
11. Major foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
12. Charismatic incumbent: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
13. Uncharismatic challenger: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.
ace-of-aces
31-May-24, 12:30

Trump is now a convicted felon. Jury found him guilty on all 34 counts.
www.youtube.com
https:///www.youtube.com/live/6mIzFnKUWQE?si=Gqc9_21Vb0eGSP_c
Democrats, Biden and his supporters are happy now. Trump is a force to be reckoned with and he is the greatest thereat for Biden to secure his second presidency in Nov. 2024 election. They think that judge Merchan delivered a final knockout blow to Trump who will not recover from this severe knockout blow.

Democrats will say to Trump voters, "Don't vote a convicted felon like Trump." Raging bull actor, DiNiro also said that if Trump is elected, not only, he will destroy America but also the rest of the world.
ace-of-aces
08-Sep-24, 02:38

Harris vs Trump; Who will win the 2024 Nov presidential election?
Streamed live 8 hours ago
Allan Lichtman's prediction for the 2024 presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is in! Using his system, the 13 Keys to the White House, Allan has officially made his call. Watch this episode to see an in-depth discussion of his analysis.
Can we guess who will win using his 13 keys. He said that if the incumbent president scores 6 or more of his keys, he/she will win.
www.youtube.com
https:///www.youtube.com/live/okYUg_Dx1iU?si=j6ddv8CIujv_G6nc



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